XLE

Oil & energy sector fund (XLE)

Signal: hold zone — 0 of 3 time horizons point the same way.

HOLD$53.22+0.8% today

Updated Jul 2, 11:59 AM ET

The last year at a glance

Last 12 months, daily closing levels. +19.6% over the year.

The three time horizons

Next 3 months

REDUCE

Recent headlines about war & world tensions usually work in this asset's favor.
Price is under its 1-month average — recent action is soft.
Down about 8% over the last month — sellers have had the upper hand.
Selling pressure has been strong lately, though it may be starting to ease.

1–3 years

BUY

Its 50-day average sits above its 200-day one — a classic healthy-trend setup.
Price has slipped below its 50-day average — medium-term momentum has cooled.
Down about 10% over the last 3 months — sellers have had the upper hand.

5+ years

BUY

Price is above its 200-day average — the long-term trend is up.
Trading in the upper half of its one-year range — holding up well.
About 15% below its one-year high — a normal pullback so far.

The odds, from history

Measured from 22 years of this asset's own history: every past day whose signal looked like today's, and what the price actually did next. History is evidence, not a promise.

1 week later

58%ended higher

Typical move: +0.7%
Tough case (worst 10%): −4.6%
Great case (best 10%): +5.4%

1,874 past setups measured

1 month later

58%ended higher

Typical move: +1.5%
Tough case (worst 10%): −8.1%
Great case (best 10%): +11.1%

1,865 past setups measured

3 months later

61%ended higher

Typical move: +3.2%
Tough case (worst 10%): −10.3%
Great case (best 10%): +20.0%

1,145 past setups measured

Past frequency, not a guarantee — markets can and do break their own patterns.

🔒 The odds, from history

Part of WinStok Pro — $12/month.

Timing plan

What the numbers say about getting in, getting out, and how long to stay. Signal states, not personal advice.

When to get in: Entry timing looks poor right now: recent price action is weak.
When to get out: Consider reducing if it closes below its 50-day average (about $56.99).Exit level to watch: $56.99
How long to stay: Best suited to a long hold of 3–5 years — the long-term picture is strongest.

🔒 Price & signal reminders

Part of WinStok Pro — $12/month.

The three time horizons

Next 3 months

REDUCE

Recent headlines about war & world tensions usually work in this asset's favor.
Price is under its 1-month average — recent action is soft.
Down about 8% over the last month — sellers have had the upper hand.
Selling pressure has been strong lately, though it may be starting to ease.

1–3 years

BUY

Its 50-day average sits above its 200-day one — a classic healthy-trend setup.
Price has slipped below its 50-day average — medium-term momentum has cooled.
Down about 10% over the last 3 months — sellers have had the upper hand.

5+ years

BUY

Price is above its 200-day average — the long-term trend is up.
Trading in the upper half of its one-year range — holding up well.
About 15% below its one-year high — a normal pullback so far.

The odds, from history

Measured from 22 years of this asset's own history: every past day whose signal looked like today's, and what the price actually did next. History is evidence, not a promise.

1 week later

58%ended higher

Typical move: +0.7%
Tough case (worst 10%): −4.6%
Great case (best 10%): +5.4%

1,874 past setups measured

1 month later

58%ended higher

Typical move: +1.5%
Tough case (worst 10%): −8.1%
Great case (best 10%): +11.1%

1,865 past setups measured

3 months later

61%ended higher

Typical move: +3.2%
Tough case (worst 10%): −10.3%
Great case (best 10%): +20.0%

1,145 past setups measured

Past frequency, not a guarantee — markets can and do break their own patterns.

Timing plan

What the numbers say about getting in, getting out, and how long to stay. Signal states, not personal advice.

When to get in: Entry timing looks poor right now: recent price action is weak.
When to get out: Consider reducing if it closes below its 50-day average (about $56.99).Exit level to watch: $56.99
How long to stay: Best suited to a long hold of 3–5 years — the long-term picture is strongest.

Oil & energy sector fund (XLE)

The last year at a glance

The three time horizons

The odds, from history

Timing plan

Set a reminder

Oil & energy sector fund (XLE)

The last year at a glance

The three time horizons

The odds, from history

Timing plan

Set a reminder

Oil & energy sector fund (XLE)

The last year at a glance

The three time horizons

Timing plan

Reminders

Oil & energy sector fund (XLE)

The last year at a glance

The three time horizons

Timing plan

Reminders