XLB

Raw materials sector fund (XLB)

Signal: hold zone — 1 of 3 time horizons point the same way.

HOLD$50.95+0.4% today

Updated Sep 11, 11:59 AM ET

The last year at a glance

Last 12 months, daily closing levels. +10.4% over the year.

The three time horizons

Next 3 months

REDUCE

Price is under its 1-month average — recent action is soft.
Down about 3% over the last month — sellers have had the upper hand.
Selling pressure has been strong lately, though it may be starting to ease.

1–3 years

HOLD

Its one-year performance trails most assets we track — not a leader right now.
Its 50-day average sits above its 200-day one — a classic healthy-trend setup.
Price has slipped below its 50-day average — medium-term momentum has cooled.
Roughly flat over the last 3 months — no clear push either way.

5+ years

BUY

Slipping under its long-term trend line (Stage 3) — an early topping warning.
Price is above its 200-day average — the long-term trend is up.
Trading in the upper half of its one-year range — holding up well.
About 5% below its one-year high — a normal pullback so far.

The classic playbooks

How this asset scores against time-tested rules from the most famous trading strategies. Signal states, not personal advice.

Trend stage

Topping

Slipping under its long-term trend line (Stage 3) — an early topping warning.

Strength vs everything we track

42/100

Its last-12-months performance beat about 42% of the assets on this site. Decades of research show recent leaders tend to keep leading over the next months.

Strong-stock checklist

4 of 8 checks passed

Price is above its 50-day average — not passed
Price is above its 150-day average — not passed
Price is above its 200-day average — passed
The 150-day average sits above the 200-day one — passed
The 200-day average has been rising for a month — passed
At least 30% above its one-year low — not passed
Within 25% of its one-year high — passed
Momentum ranks in the top third of tracked assets — not passed

The checklist used by champion growth traders: the strongest stocks historically pass most of these before their biggest runs.

The odds, from history

Measured from 23 years of this asset's own history: every past day whose signal looked like today's, and what the price actually did next. History is evidence, not a promise.

1 week later

57%ended higher

Typical move: +0.6%
Tough case (worst 10%): −4.4%
Great case (best 10%): +4.8%

1,625 past setups measured

1 month later

63%ended higher

Typical move: +2.3%
Tough case (worst 10%): −6.6%
Great case (best 10%): +9.4%

1,625 past setups measured

3 months later

66%ended higher

Typical move: +3.0%
Tough case (worst 10%): −10.4%
Great case (best 10%): +11.1%

1,534 past setups measured

Past frequency, not a guarantee — markets can and do break their own patterns.

🔒 The odds, from history

Part of WinStok Pro — $12/month.

Timing plan

What the numbers say about getting in, getting out, and how long to stay. Signal states, not personal advice.

When to get in: Entry timing looks poor right now: recent price action is weak.
When to get out: Consider reducing if it closes below its 50-day average (about $51.84).Exit level to watch: $51.84
How long to stay: Best suited to a long hold of 3–5 years — the long-term picture is strongest.

🔒 Price & signal reminders

Part of WinStok Pro — $12/month.

The three time horizons

Next 3 months

REDUCE

Price is under its 1-month average — recent action is soft.
Down about 3% over the last month — sellers have had the upper hand.
Selling pressure has been strong lately, though it may be starting to ease.

1–3 years

HOLD

Its one-year performance trails most assets we track — not a leader right now.
Its 50-day average sits above its 200-day one — a classic healthy-trend setup.
Price has slipped below its 50-day average — medium-term momentum has cooled.
Roughly flat over the last 3 months — no clear push either way.

5+ years

BUY

Slipping under its long-term trend line (Stage 3) — an early topping warning.
Price is above its 200-day average — the long-term trend is up.
Trading in the upper half of its one-year range — holding up well.
About 5% below its one-year high — a normal pullback so far.

The classic playbooks

How this asset scores against time-tested rules from the most famous trading strategies. Signal states, not personal advice.

Trend stage

Topping

Slipping under its long-term trend line (Stage 3) — an early topping warning.

Strength vs everything we track

42/100

Its last-12-months performance beat about 42% of the assets on this site. Decades of research show recent leaders tend to keep leading over the next months.

Strong-stock checklist

4 of 8 checks passed

Price is above its 50-day average — not passed
Price is above its 150-day average — not passed
Price is above its 200-day average — passed
The 150-day average sits above the 200-day one — passed
The 200-day average has been rising for a month — passed
At least 30% above its one-year low — not passed
Within 25% of its one-year high — passed
Momentum ranks in the top third of tracked assets — not passed

The checklist used by champion growth traders: the strongest stocks historically pass most of these before their biggest runs.

The odds, from history

Measured from 23 years of this asset's own history: every past day whose signal looked like today's, and what the price actually did next. History is evidence, not a promise.

1 week later

57%ended higher

Typical move: +0.6%
Tough case (worst 10%): −4.4%
Great case (best 10%): +4.8%

1,625 past setups measured

1 month later

63%ended higher

Typical move: +2.3%
Tough case (worst 10%): −6.6%
Great case (best 10%): +9.4%

1,625 past setups measured

3 months later

66%ended higher

Typical move: +3.0%
Tough case (worst 10%): −10.4%
Great case (best 10%): +11.1%

1,534 past setups measured

Past frequency, not a guarantee — markets can and do break their own patterns.

Timing plan

What the numbers say about getting in, getting out, and how long to stay. Signal states, not personal advice.

When to get in: Entry timing looks poor right now: recent price action is weak.
When to get out: Consider reducing if it closes below its 50-day average (about $51.84).Exit level to watch: $51.84
How long to stay: Best suited to a long hold of 3–5 years — the long-term picture is strongest.

Raw materials sector fund (XLB)

The last year at a glance

The three time horizons

The classic playbooks

The odds, from history

Timing plan

Set a reminder

Raw materials sector fund (XLB)

The last year at a glance

The three time horizons

The classic playbooks

The odds, from history

Timing plan

Set a reminder

Raw materials sector fund (XLB)

The last year at a glance

The three time horizons

The classic playbooks

Timing plan

Reminders

Raw materials sector fund (XLB)

The last year at a glance

The three time horizons

The classic playbooks

Timing plan

Reminders